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Look forward to keeping in touch. Vince G. Subscriber The GeoInvesting site is great. I'm learning a lot and looking at a bunch of new ideas as a result. So glad you got me in. I actually set up the twitter account so I could start getting the GeoInvesting premium tweets.
So yes please include me! Andrew G. Subscriber Your service is excellent. Garry D. Subscriber I am glad that I was able to join GeoInvesting. Microcaps are one of the very few niches where a retail investor can do well, and your service looks sincere and solid. I learnt to know about it from a podcast interview with Nate Tobik and Fred Rockwell. Heiko N. Subscriber Just wanted to say thanks for the subscription. I've always been a really big fan of Geo's stuff and it was what initially got me into micro-cap investing.
Really look forward to reading and contributing! Subscriber Hi, I have already taken some action and purchased some shares in [followed stocks]. So far with the information from the GeoInvesting portal I have been able to monitor and understand those shares and navigate the web page easily. The information I am getting from the portal is extremely helpful in understanding why stocks go up or down. While the chances of a drug or medical device making it to market might be small, they can rake in massive revenues.
The higher the risk, the higher the reward. The stock price is not always a faithful reflection of the company itself, especially in the biotech area. While the stock and the real value of the company tend to correlate in the long term, in the short term they can move in opposite directions.
Content continues below Related Content This means that a good analysis may reveal hidden gems that others have overlooked. A skilled valuation may determine whether a particular stock is over- or undervalued. To do so accurately, the analysis should capture the potential not just of the technology, but of the ability of the biotech company to succeed in the corporate world.
According to Abelin, a successful life sciences investor needs to understand the technical terms, be able to make comparisons and always consider the time periods. Searching for the ideal investment The ideal biotech stock investment would be a disruptive company with global capacity, a solid financial position, several unique products that are already making money, a promising pipeline of programs in different development stages, clear chances of regulatory approval, undervalued, and unknown by most of the market.
And the CEO would call you once a week to give you the latest insights. But this ideal does not exist. In biotech, you need to assume risks. It is part of the game. While it is harder to opt for a pre-revenue biotech company, without any supporting cash flow, it might be much more profitable going forward.
Instead of depending on the success of a single project, a diverse portfolio helps the investor overcome the failure of some of their investments. Content continues below Related Content A diversified portfolio could include companies targeting different disease areas and technologies. It could also have a variety of company sizes: large caps have more possibilities to add revenue even in times of a global crisis; pre-revenue or smaller companies are riskier but potentially much more profitable; and mid-cap companies might be a more stable middle point.
Other investors might prefer to focus on a specific area or stage and become experts in the intricacies of that particular target. The truth is that investing in biotech is complicated, and there are different arguments in favor of different portfolio strategies.
Even the biggest investment experts can make totally different predictions for the same stock. Europe has become one of the main locations within the sector. But there is still room for improvement. Probably due to the lack of specialized investors in this area.
This can be estimated by looking into how many people have or get a diagnosis of the target disease each year. The big treatment areas, for example cancer or cardiovascular diseases, have the greatest potential return on investment. However, they also have a lot of competition, meaning that the percentage of the market share of a new product will be limited, and highly dependent on how it compares to other products that are already on the market or in development.
Smaller markets, such as rare diseases, have the advantage that there is much less competition, or none. In addition, underserved areas often benefit from access to accelerated regulatory approval and funding from non-profit organizations. Another important factor is the price that customers will be willing to pay for the treatment, as well as the number of doses required. A one-time solution such as gene therapy can bring bigger revenues faster but might be more difficult to sell, whereas chronic treatments might bring smaller but regular revenues over the years.
The pipeline Whether a company is dependent on a single product or is developing several of them is a very important factor to take into account when performing a stock valuation. On the other hand, developing multiple products significantly increases the costs the company will have to face before it can start generating revenue. In this case, the valuation must consider the entire portfolio, considering the market potential of each drug and its chances to get regulatory approval and generating sufficient return to cover the company costs.
But when a drug does make it to market, the stock has the potential to increase massively. It could also be a matter of progressive growth over the course of several years, as has happened with companies such as Amgen, Biogen, and Gilead. However, a negative result can massively shrink its stock price too, and even provoke the ruin of the company.
A warning for the public investor is that companies can sometimes limit the amount of details they reveal about their results, making it difficult to accurately evaluate the potential of a drug candidate. There have also been scandals around data manipulation in the life sciences, but these are rare. That has been the case, for example, of the gene therapy Glybera. Either way, specialists note that you should not discard a stock because of a small trial setback.
Biotech investing experts buy and sel crypto or hodl
Biotech stocks have been overlooked for the past year and a half, says Jefferies' Michael YeeHEIKEN ASHI FOREXINDONESIA
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Biotech investing experts how to sell cryptocurrency
Bargain hunting for biotech stocks
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