Best way to win money sports betting

Октябрь 2, 2012

Tekazahn

4 comments

best way to win money sports betting

You need to write a book on how to make money off of gambling on sports man. I don't have experience with it personally, but it sounds like a good way. However, if you want to become a better sports gambler and work your way up to making truly big wins, it's really important to keep as much of your winnings in. As a rule of thumb, a conservative bettor should wager 1 – 2% of their bankroll per bet, an average bettor 3%, an aggressive, 4 – 5%. As an example, if you. BET 1 X 2

Ride Winning Streaks Team and player performance in sports can be really streaky. You can take advantage of hot and cold streaks in your betting and if you can identify them faster than the oddsmakers, it presents a big opportunity. If a team beats a series of lower quality teams while playing at home it may not be the right time to jump on the bandwagon when their next game is on the road against a top opponent, for example.

Keep track of the schedule and factors that can help keep a streak alive. Hedging Your Bets There are opportunities in sports betting where a punter can make a bet that is opposite to his original bet. In both these examples you can bet against your original wager and lock in a profit, regardless of the final outcome.

Hedging lets you sacrifice a larger potential payout in exchange for reduced risk and a guaranteed profit. By making your hedge bet larger or smaller you can play with how much risk and reward you want to take. At a Las Vegas sportsbook, a St. At the time the Cardinals were five games out of a playoff spot with 15 games to play. A big hill to climb to even just make the playoffs. The gambler was now looking at a potentially massive payday. But what if the Cardinals lost the World Series.

He would get exactly zero. This is the perfect opportunity to hedge. By betting opposite to the original wager, he can lock in a profit. With parlays one loss is all it takes to lose the entire parlay. Betting the Middle This process, also known as middling, is when a punter makes an early point spread bet only to see the line move later. By exploiting the line change you can place an opposite bet to your first wager and sometimes win them both.

Keep reading for an example to make it really clear. This can happen for a few different reasons including too much action being placed on the underdog by the betting public or by things like injuries or other player factors. If the favorite wins by 8 or 9 points exactly, you win both your bets.

The downside is that you will take a small loss when this happens due to the commission vig charged by the sportsbook. Read our full guide to betting the middle for more information. Sportsbooks also want to attract roughly equal action on both sides of a bet to protect themselves from a potentially massive loss.

Being able to identify cases when the public is pushing a line gives smart bettors an edge because the line is moving relative to the money coming in rather than the likely final score of the game. As such, you can bet in the opposite direction and reap the benefit of extra points in your favor on the point spread or extra pennies on the dollar with the moneyline.

To fade the public you need to pay close attention to line movements. There are also free resources online that can tell you the distribution of action on specific bets. This is because those leagues use a playoff format when it comes to home and away games. The higher seeded team plays at home for the first two games, as well as the 5th and 7th, if necessary.

The zig zag theory works on two main concepts. First, home teams have a real advantage. Second, when a team is coming off a loss they generally play harder and have a statistically better chance of winning. The zig zag theory works best when a team is at home AND coming off a loss. In the NHL the historical percentages are different and even when the home team takes game 1, the lower seed comes back to win game 2 on the road one-third of the time.

In these moments, with the public betting heavily on the home team to replicate their game 1 success, look to find great value on the road squad. If the leading team has won by close margins the public may still overvalue them by emphasizing the series lead rather than a rational analysis of how the games actually played out. Of course, if they really worked then everyone would be rich and casinos and sportsbooks would be bankrupt. Martingale System — In this system the bettor simply doubles the bet amount after any losing bet in an effort to recoup their money plus a small profit.

An obvious problem with this is that any bad losing streak will require a huge amount of money just to get back to even. The Negative Progression System a. Compared to the Martingale system which only requires your last bet to win, this system needs your overall winning percentage to out-number your losses.

The Labouchere system — a. The Cancellation System — This system is also called the split Martingale system. First come up with a base betting unit. Then write down a common Labouchere sequence like To choose your bet amount, take the first and last numbers from the sequence.

If you lose a bet, add the number of units you bet to the end of the sequence. When you win, cross out the first and last numbers in the sequence. Maybe you played college hockey, so betting on the NHL comes a big more natural. Maybe your father was a high school basketball coach for a long time, so hoops is where you make your bones. Or maybe you have your most success in betting small conference college football.

The point is that whatever works for you is what you should focus on. They ask how many. So I am going to focus primarily on the mainstream, most commonly wagered sports. With that in mind, here is my own personal list of the most profitable sports to bet on: 1. College Basketball For me, this is a no-brainer. College basketball has a load of built-in advantages for bettors. The first is the sheer volume of games.

There are around college basketball teams, and more than of them play in conferences with regularly lined games. The fact that all of these teams play multiple times in a week means that on any given seven-day period you could have more than lined games to choose from. Further, nonconference college basketball has been a gold mine for me.

It is, by far, bar none the best time of the year to make money betting on sports. There is also usually NBA and NHL games going on a this time, meaning that it is very easy for college basketball to get lost in the shuffle. Throw in the unique betting circumstances in March — conference tournaments, the NCAA Tournament, and smaller postseason tournaments — and college basketball offers a load of value and a ton of opportunities for bettors to rake in cash.

Once you embrace the random insanity of professional basketball, it becomes a lot easier to beat. I struggled with NBA betting early in my career because I tried to apply logic and reason to it. The reality is that it is difficult to predict how motivated NBA players are on a day-to-day basis. Once you start looking at games and lines more from a motivational and situational perspective, patterns start to emerge.

Also, in-game NBA betting can be a gold mine. Because there are such wild swings in any given game — pro hoops teams can be down 25 points early in the game and end up winning by 20 — there are always big opportunities to capitalize on in-game overcorrections from your sportsbooks. MLB This is another numbers game. With 30 teams playing games, there are just a ton of opportunities to cash in. Beyond that, the sheer volume of statistics and analytics makes it easier to find specific situations that you can use to your advantage.

Certain pitchers struggle against certain opposing lineups. Some teams are just terrible on the road. Things like that are abundant on the diamond. The , and year-olds that make up most college teams can be erratic in their preparation and motivation levels throughout the season. NFL players are a little easier to handicap. Also, NFL spreads fit through a narrower range than college football spreads, and that makes the numbers a little easier to read. Soccer Again: volume, volume, volume.

There are dozens of leagues and hundreds of teams to wager on in soccer. I love the international tournaments — World Cup, Euro, etc. College Football The kids can be a little more erratic than their professional counterparts. But in some ways they are also a bit more predictable.

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