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The point to understand is that the African emergence is a relatively recent phenomenon. The challenge for many African governments is going to be of a very youthful population wanting it now. This new generation is surfing the c21st via their mobile phones and their needs and wants are a multiple of any preceding generation.
This new genera- tion will reshape and force the reconfigu- ration of governments across Africa as they are forced to react to a new normal [of heightened expectations amongst its citizens]. Now an electorate can have heightened expectations but simply no leverage with which to pressure its government. Today the pressure points are growing exponentially. For three whole days during the Westgate crisis, the hashtag StepasideOlelenku was the top trending hashtag in this region.
I feel sorry for the cabinet sec- retary because I suspect some undiluted old guard elements probably whispered ''Say This'' and ''Say That'' with no regard or even comprehension of the new normal and little regard for the fact that they were shredding the cabinet secretary's bona fides. The electorate is breaking out of its box. Mohamed Ibrahim the totemic and trail blazing African entrepreneur and founder of Celtel [The mobile phone company] and therefore a key agent of change and precipitator of this new normal has done much outstanding service for Africa, not least of which was his Mohamed Ibrahim Prize and Index.
The Ibrahim Index was im- portant because it marked the beginning of the narrowing of the perception gap around Africa. Ibrahim brought a science and a methodology to the study of the continent. Today, there are a proliferation of these types of studies but it all started with Ibrahim.
For eternity, Africa was the realm of the imagination and oftentimes the wildest of wild imaginations. Of course, the failure to award the African Leadership Prize for the 4th Occasion out of 7 captured headlines but what caught my attention was this; The Rule of Law and Safety Index [In country and not cross border conflict related] was the only index which has deteriorated.
The World Economic Forum also made a similar finding. This is an alarm bell and I think speaks to a consequence of a failure to meet the rising expectations of our people. Our societies more urbanised than ever before are becoming more personally dangerous and it appears to be a Sub Saharan wide phenomenon. Its not an external challenge but an internal fissure. Ibrahim said "We should not rush into thinking that improvement will happen instantly. Don't forget it took China 40 years to get where it is now" Unfortunately, I know of no one who has a 40 year time horizon.
These are interesting and very fluid times. He thinks more Canadian investors should feel the same way. He is keen to dispel what he sees as many myths - the misconception that Africa is a permanent trouble spot good only for extracting resources, rife with corruption, war, disease and spam e-mails from deposed princes asking for your PIN number.
Not so, Mr. Field-Marsham says. There are huge investment opportunities in areas such as infrastructure, consumer products, transportation, communications and financial services. And while there is risk in any investment, sub-Saharan Africa is less risky than one might think. They'll invest all over the world, including in Africa," he explains. Field Marsham says. The countries south of the Sahara Desert, with a collective population of more than million people, offer some of the best opportunities on the planet these days.
Here's what you might be missing if you haven't paid attention to sub-Saharan Africa: - The region's GDP is expected to rise by a robust 6 per cent per year over the next decade. With prospects like these, why aren't more investors rushing to sub-Saharan Africa? It's partly because of outdated ideas about the region, Mr.
When the Cold War ended [in the early s] there was no need to prop them up any more, so the International Monetary Fund came in and brought in structural changes. Field-Marsham adds. Then, starting in the early s, there was a resource boom, fuelled largely by China's demand for raw materials. With this demand somewhat settled, resources today account for only 20 per cent of sub-Saharan economic growth, Mr. Meanwhile, there's a lifestyle and consumer revolution under way. Today there are 32 million telephone lines.
There has to be a strong belief in the African growth story; that Africa is good for business and investment; and that business and investment is good for Africa. It's not. But isn't Africa still corrupt and dangerous? It can be in some places, but it's changing, Mr.
He was as unnerved as everyone else by the deadly attack at Nairobi's Westgate Mall in September by al-Shabab, a Somali-based militant group linked to al-Qaeda. As for corruption, Mr. Morland says, "I would trust a handshake in Africa further than a lawyer's agreement in the U. For example, many countries have strict limits on foreign land ownership, because of bad experiences with colonialism. But it's Westerners who have the most to learn about a promising, sophisticated and still under-noticed market, Mr.
Morland says. The Nairobi Securities Exchange quadrupled from through I spent two years at the Nation Centre in Nairobi. In those days, prices were projected onto a screen, Kenya had embarked on a Thatcher-style shareholder revolution and 2m newly minted shareholders were created out of thin air.
I rubbed shoulders with folks who had sold their cattle, parlayed the proceeds into a line and were swinging the line like we all did when the Nasdaq boomed in the late s. The Kenyan economy expanded at 7. Cynical sorts - and most of the seasoned Africa hands tend to be hard-bitten - would whisper, 'It can't last, it never does'. I was one of the crazy ones, an Afro-optimist, when it was not very fashionable. Then in December , I took the family to Mombasa and waited for the election.
I watched the election on my TV screen. The results were streaming in and then all of a sudden, no more results were being reported. The lights were literally switched off in the tallying centre. We caught the flight back to Nairobi on the 1st of January and from the airport to our house, we passed two vehicles and both were military. The country came to a standstill and the economy crashed.
It grew not much above 1 per cent in Sometime in January, CNN flashed a picture of men with machetes about 5 km from my watering hole, pulling people out of cars. CNN proceeded to play that reel for about twelve months whenever it mentioned Kenya.
My mother-in-law called me from London and implied I was a trader without any idea of a stop loss and she was all set to switch my lights off and enforce a stop loss. Kenya hurdled the elections this week after a fashion and snapped a sequence of botched elections running all the way back to The exception was Queues of Kenyans turned up to affirm their faith in the democratic process. At the final count the IEBC declared that 86 per cent of the registered voters had participated.
That is an extraordinary number and gives a stamp of legitimacy to the process. Despite the beta and volatility we witnessed around the counting process, the switch to manual, the IT bug that multiplied the rejected votes by a factor of eight, we arrived at a clear cut winner in the first round. I appreciate the outcome is being contested but it is being contested in the courts and not on the street. And the remarkable thing is that the ground has shifted. A call for mass action would have shredded the bona fides of the prime minister in an instant.
This extraordinary turnaround and a largely violence-free election confirms a tipping point. It represents a positive contagion. Complexities remain around the process at the International Criminal Court. The incoming president has confirmed severally that he will cooperate with the ICC.
He has to be taken at his word. Kenya remains the geopolitical pivot and the linchpin state in the East African Community. Half of our stock market is held by UK-listed companies. Five years after Zimbabwe emerged from recession, ended hyperinflation by abandoning its local currency and spurred farming production, the economy is at risk of contracting again.
Zimbabwe now uses a multi-currency system that includes the U. The recovery spurred investment from Pick n Pay Stores Ltd. It also fueled agriculture, with tobacco output surging more than three-fold to million kilograms in the five years through That progress is now at risk. Retail sales fell 30 percent in February from the previous month, while 15 factories in the metals and engineering industries closed in the period, the Finance Ministry said in a monthly report on its website.
Consumer prices declined for a third consecutive month in April, reflecting depressed demand. IHS , a global business research company, said by phone from Johannesburg. Finance Minister Patrick Chinamasa has said a law that forces foreign and white-owned companies to cede 51 percent stakes to black Zimbabweans will be eased.
For cross-border traders like Takavarasha, remaining in South Africa as an undocumented immigrant is becoming more promising than trying to sell goods in Zimbabwe. The Johannesburg-based University of Witwatersrand estimates that as many as 1. The goal over the next few years is to build homegrown African counterterrorism teams capable of combating fighters like those in Boko Haram, the Islamist extremist group that abducted nearly Nigerian schoolgirls last month.
American military specialists are helping Nigerian officers in their efforts to rescue the girls. Sheehan, who advocated the counterterrorism program last year when he was the senior Pentagon official in charge of Special Operations policy. As the United States military seeks to extend its counterterrorism reach in Africa, President Obama is expected to appear at West Point on Wednesday to emphasize a foreign policy that would avoid large land wars, like those in Afghanistan and Iraq, and instead stress the training of allied and partner nations to battle militants on their own soil.
Since the attacks on Sept. Patrick J. Is he true to the country, or is he still bound to his militia?

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