Here are the results of running the program over the M15 window for operations: Note that the balance the blue line finishes below its starting point. This is known as parameter optimization. I did some rough testing to try to infer the significance of the external parameters on the return ratio and arrived at this: Cleaned up, it looks like this: You may think, as I did, that you should use parameter A.
Specifically, note the unpredictability of parameter A: For small error values, its return changes dramatically. In other words, parameter A is very likely to overpredict future results since any uncertainty—any shift at all—will result in worse performance. But indeed, the future is uncertain! And so the return of parameter A is also uncertain. The best choice, in fact, is to rely on unpredictability.
Often, a parameter with a lower maximum return but superior predictability less fluctuation will be preferable to a parameter with high return but poor predictability. As such, you must acknowledge this unpredictability in your forex predictions. It is a mistake to assume you know how the market is going to perform based on past data.
This does not necessarily mean we should use parameter B because even the lower returns of parameter A perform better than the returns of parameter B; optimizing parameters can result in tests that overstate likely future results, and such thinking is not obvious.
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They very quickly understood our business case and the value of our solution. Toptal really allowed us to focus on building the best possible product and save a lot of time on the typical administrative pains that goes with it -- specifically, finding the best talent. Toptal designers were very responsive, always online -- and that made life very easy for us. We have ambitious goals on how to grow the application and already Toptal has been a key contributor to that success.
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What he produced inspired all of us at Votify, and put us on track for launch and investor funding. Average time to match is under 24 hours. At Toptal, we thoroughly screen our Tableau designers to ensure we only match you with talent of the highest caliber. You'll work with design experts never generalized recruiters or HR reps to understand your goals, technical needs, and team dynamics. The end result: expert vetted talent from our network, custom matched to fit your business needs.
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